If you've not checked out sectionsix.blogspot.com before, you really should. Steven runs a hell of a website rooted heavily in statistical analysis of State's sports teams and their opponents, based primarily on Ken Pomeroy's formulas for ranking and comparing teams.
Here's his breakdown for the Miami game tomorrow.
(Sorry on the low-rent graphic Steven...all I could find was a big honking "6".)
View the complete entry of "Statistical breakdown @ SectionSix"
